Selasa, 29 April 2014

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Administrative Behavior, by Herbert A. Simon

In this fourth edition of his ground-breaking work, Herbert A. Simon applies his pioneering theory of human choice and administrative decision-making to concrete organizational problems. To commemorate the fiftieth anniversary of the book's original publication, Professor Simon enhances his timeless observations on the human decision-making process with commentaries examining new facets of organizational behavior. Investigating the impact of changing social values and modem technology on the operation of organizations, the new ideas featured in this revised edition update a book that has become a worldwide classic.

Named by Public Administration Review as "Book of the Half Century," Administrative Behavior is considered one of the most influential books on social science thinking, and was referred to by the Nobel Committee as "epoch-making."

Written for managers and other professionals who wish to understand the decision-making processes at the heart of organization and management, it is also essential reading for students in business and management, economics, sociology, psychology computer science, government, and law.

  • Sales Rank: #2995379 in Books
  • Published on: 1957-12
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 259 pages

About the Author
Herbert A. Simon is Chaired Professor in psychology and computer science at Carnegie Mellon University. Awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1978, Professor Simon currently works in the field of artificial intelligence.

Excerpt. � Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.
Chapter 1

Decision-Making and Administrative Organization

Administration is ordinarily discussed as the art of "getting things done." Emphasis is placed upon processes and methods for insuring incisive action. Principles are set forth for securing concerted action from groups of men. In all this discussion, however, not very much attention is paid to the choice which prefaces all action -- to the determining of what is to be done rather than to the actual doing. It is with this problem -- the process of choice which leads to action -- that the present study is concerned. In this introductory chapter the problem will be posed and a survey made of the topics to be taken up in the remaining chapters.

Although any practical activity involves both "deciding" and "doing," it has not commonly been recognized that a theory of administration should be concerned with the processes of decision as well as with the processes of action. This neglect perhaps stems from the notion that decision-making is confined to the formulation of over-all policy. On the contrary, the process of decision does not come to an end when the general purpose of an organization has been determined. The task of "deciding" pervades the entire administrative organization quite as much as does the task of "doing" -- indeed, it is integrally tied up with the latter. A general theory of administration must include principles of organization that will insure correct decision-making, just as it must include principles that will insure effective action.

DECISION-MAKING AND THE EXECUTION OF DECISIONS

It is clear that the actual physical task of carrying out an organization's objectives falls to the persons at the lowest level of the administrative hierarchy. The automobile, as a physical object, is built not by the engineer or the executive, but by the mechanic on the assembly line. The fire is extinguished, not by the fire chief or the captain, but by the team of firemen who play a hose on the blaze.

It is equally clear that the persons above this lowest or operative level in the administrative hierarchy are not mere surplus baggage, and that they too must have an essential role to play in the accomplishment of the agency's objectives. Even though, as far as physical cause and effect are concerned, it is the machine gunner and not the major who fights battles, the major is likely to have a greater influence upon the outcome of a battle than any single machine gunner.

How, then, do the administrative and supervisory staff of an organization affect that organization's work? The nonoperative staff of an administrative organization participate in the accomplishment of the objectives of that organization to the extent that they influence the decisions of the operatives -- the persons at the lowest level of the administrative hierarchy. The major can influence the battle to the extent that his head is able to direct the machine gunner's hand. By deploying his forces in the battle area and assigning specific tasks to subordinate units he determines for the machine gunner where he will take his stand and what his objective will be. In very small organizations the influence of all supervisory employees upon the operative employees may be direct, but in units of any size there are interposed between the top supervisors and the operative employees several levels of intermediate supervisors who are themselves subject to influences from above, and who transmit, elaborate, and modify these influences before they reach the operatives.

If this is a correct description of the administrative process, then the construction of an efficient administrative organization is a problem in social psychology. It is a task of setting up an operative staff and superimposing on that staff a supervisory staff capable of influencing the operative group toward a pattern of coordinated and effective behavior. The term "influencing" rather than "directing" is used here, for direction -- that is, the use of administrative authority -- is only one of several ways in which the administrative staff may affect the decisions of the operative staff; and, consequently, the construction of an administrative organization involves more than a mere assignment of functions and allocation of authority.

In the study of organization, the operative employee must be at the focus of attention, for the success of the structure will be judged by his performance within it. Insight into the structure and function of an organization can best be gained by analyzing the manner in which the decisions and behavior of such employees are influenced within and by the organization.

CHOICE AND BEHAVIOR

All behavior involves conscious or unconscious selection of particular actions out of all those which are physically possible to the actor and to those persons over whom he exercises influence and authority. The term "selection" is used here without any implication of a conscious or deliberate process. It refers simply to the fact that, if the individual follows one particular course of action, there are other courses of action that he thereby forgoes. In many cases the selection process consists simply in an established reflex action -- a typist hits a particular key with a finger because a reflex has been established between a letter on a printed page and this particular key. Here the action is, in some sense at least, rational (i.e. goal-oriented), yet no element of consciousness or deliberation is involved.

In other cases the selection is itself the product of a complex chain of activities called "planning" or "design" activities. An engineer, for example, may decide upon the basis of extensive analysis that a particular bridge should be of cantilever design. His design, further implemented by detailed plans for the structure, will lead to a whole chain of behaviors by the individuals constructing the bridge.

In this volume many examples will be given of all varieties of selection process. All these examples have in common the following characteristics: At any moment there are a multitude of alternative (physically) possible actions, any one of which a given individual may undertake; by some process these numerous alternatives are narrowed down to that one which is in fact acted out. The words "choice" and "decision" will be used interchangeably in this study to refer to this process. Since these terms as ordinarily used carry connotations of self-conscious, deliberate, rational selection, it should be emphasized that as used here they include any process of selection, regardless of whether the above elements are present to any degree.

VALUE AND FACT IN DECISION

A great deal of behavior, and particularly the behavior of individuals within administrative organizations, is purposive -- oriented toward goals or objectives. This purposiveness brings about an integration in the pattern of behavior, in the absence of which administration would be meaningless; for, if administration consists in "getting things done" by groups of people, purpose provides a principal criterion in determining what things are to be done.

The minute decisions that govern specific actions are inevitably instances of the application of broader decisions relative to purpose and to method. The walker contracts his leg muscles in order to take a step; he takes a step in order to proceed toward his destination; he is going to the destination, a mail box, in order to mail a letter; he is sending a letter in order to transmit certain information to another person, and so forth. Each decision involves the selection of a goal, and a behavior relevant to it; this goal may in turn be mediate to a somewhat more distant goal; and so on, until a relatively final aim is reached. In so far as decisions lead toward the selection of final goals, they will be called "value judgments"; so far as they involve the implementation of such goals they will be called "factual judgments."

Unfortunately, problems do not come to the administrator carefully wrapped in bundles with the value elements and the factual elements neatly sorted. For one thing, goals or final objectives of governmental organization and activity are usually formulated in very general and ambiguous terms -- "justice," "the general welfare," or "liberty." Then, too, the objectives as defined may be merely intermediate to the attainment of more final aims. For example, in certain spheres of action, the behavior of men is generally oriented around the "economic motive." Yet, for most men, economic gain is not usually an end in itself, but a means for attaining more final ends: security, comfort, and prestige.

Finally, the value and factual elements may be combined, in some cases, in a single objective. The apprehension of criminals is commonly set up as an objective of a municipal police department. To a certain extent this objective is conceived as an end in itself, that is, as aimed toward the apprehension and punishment of offenders against the law; but from another point of view apprehension is considered a means for protecting citizens, for rehabilitating offenders, and for discouraging potential offenders.

The Hierarchy of Decisions. The concept of purposiveness involves a notion of a hierarchy of decisions -- each step downward in the hierarchy consisting in an implementation of the goals set forth in the step immediately above. Behavior is purposive in so far as it is guided by general goals or objectives; it is rational in so far as it selects alternatives which are conducive to the achievement of the previously selected goals.

It should not be inferred that this hierarchy or pyramid of goals is perfectly organized or integrated in any actual behavior. A governmental agency, for instance, may be directed simultaneously toward several distinct objectives: a recreation department may seek to improve the health of children, to provide them with good uses for their leisure time, and to prevent juvenile delinquency, as well as to achieve similar goals for the adults in the community.

Even when no conscious ...

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Great price. Fast
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Book as described . Great price. Fast shipping

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Five Stars
By poor post grad student
A classic text.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Must-read for social scientists
By KDO
This is a classic book and a must-read for social scientists (I am a sociology professor). I had it on my reading list for a long time, but now I bought it (with a surprisingly low price) AND read it. This was really a good investment.

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Minggu, 27 April 2014

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  • Sales Rank: #1078672 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Jones Bartlett Publishers
  • Published on: 2004-05
  • Ingredients: Example Ingredients
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 2.04" h x 6.96" w x 10.30" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 921 pages
Features
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Sabtu, 26 April 2014

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Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior, by A. J. Frost, Robert R. Prechter Jr.

Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s and '40s, the Elliott Wave Principle is a powerful analytical tool for forecasting stock market behavior. The basic concept behind the Wave Principle is that stock market prices rise and fall in discernible patterns and that those patterns can be linked together into waves.

In the years since it was first published, this classic guide to the Elliott Wave Principle has acquired a cult status among technical analysts, worldwide. And with each new edition, the authors have refined and enhanced the principle, while retaining all the predictions from past editions.

The 20th Anniversay Edition includes a special foreword and enhanced text. It’s the final revision of a classic.

"Elliott Wave Principle is simply the best description and validation of a concept which by all rights should be revolutionizing the scientific study of history and sociology." –JWG, New York

"Elliott Wave Principle is such an important, fascinating, even mind-bending work, we are convinced that is should be read by any and every serious student of the market, be they fundamentalist or technician, dealing in stocks, bonds or commodities." –Market Decision$

"Even allowing for minor stumbles, that 1978 prediction must go down as the most remarkable stock market prediction of all time." –James W. Cowan, Monitor Money Review

"Elliott Wave Principle is the greatest work of any kind, anywhere. It has helped me abandon speculative stock tips and stockbroker newsletter recommendations for my own predictions based on the simple wave theory." –J.V.

"I have just received my copy of Elliott Wave Principle and find it to be unquestionably the best book and explanation regarding the works of Elliott that I’ve ever seen." –J.B.B.

"I have recently read and reread Elliott Wave Principle. I was impressed with the research and especially thrilled with the excitement of coming into contact with a truly original concept." –M.F.

  • Sales Rank: #772810 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: New Classics Library
  • Published on: 1998-06
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: .95" h x 6.42" w x 9.57" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 301 pages
Features
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From the Inside Flap
Robert R. Prechter, Jr. Robert R. Prechter, Jr. is author of several books on the markets and editor of two monthly forecasting publications, The Elliott Wave Theorist and Global Market Perspective. The Hulbert rating service reports that The Theorist exceeded the performance of the Wilshire 5000 over the 131/2 year period ending December 31, 1993, while being exposed to market risk only 50% of the time. EWT has won Hard Money Digest's "Award of Excellence" twice and Timer Digest's "Timer of the Year" twice, the only newsletter to do so. In 1984, Mr. Prechter set an all time record in the United States Trading Championship by returning 444.4% in a monitored real-money options account in the four month contest period. In December 1989, Financial News Network named him "Guru of the Decade". In 1990-1991, Mr. Prechter served as President of the Market Technicians Association in its twenty-first year.

From the Back Cover
"This is a definitive, excellent book on Elliott, and I recommend it to all who have an interest in the Wave Principle."
—Richard Russell, Dow Theory Letters

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—Donald J. Hoppe, Business and Investment Analysis

"...A top-drawer reference for serious technical analysts....all the nuts and bolts necessary to do their own Elliott Wave assembly."
—Futures Magazine

"Chapter Three is the best description of Fibonacci numbers we've seen in print and that alone is worth the price of the book."
—Janes Dines, The Dines Letter

"In a third of a lifetime in this business, this was the first time I really understood Elliott, and this is certainly the first book on Elliott that I could recommend. All the methods that Prechter has used so successfully are fully described in this book."
—The Professional Investor

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—Market Decisions

"Even allowing for minor stumbles, that 1978 prediction must go down as the most remarkable stick market prediction of all time."
—James W. Cowan, Monitor Money Review;� Recipient of the Technical Analysis Association's Award of Excellence

About the Author
Robert R. Prechter, Jr., CMT, is founder and president of Elliott Wave International. He began his professional career in 1975 as a Technical Market Specialist with the Merrill Lynch Market Analysis Department in New York. Bob has been writing market commentary since 1976. He has been publishing The Elliott Wave Theorist, a monthly forecasting publication, since 1979. In 1984, Bob set a record in the options division of the U.S. Trading Championship with a real-money trading account. In December 1989, Financial News Network (now CNBC) named him "Guru of the Decade." Bob served for nine years on the national Board of the Market Technicians Association and in 1990-1991 served as its president. He has served on the board of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles and currently serves on the Advisory Panel of the MTA's Educational Foundation. During the 1990s, Bob expanded his firm to provide round-the-clock analysis on global financial markets. He has written 14 books on finance, beginning with Elliott Wave Principle in 1978, which forecast a 1920s-style stock market boom. His 2002 title, Conquer the Crash - You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Crash and Depression, which predicted the current debt crisis, was a New York Times best-seller. In 1999, Bob received the CSTA's first annual A.J. Frost Memorial Award for Outstanding Contribution to the Development of Technical Analysis. In 2003, Traders Library granted him its Hall of Fame award. In 2008 and 2010, the Georgia legislature invited Bob to testify before its Joint Economic Committee regarding the state's developing real estate and budget crises. He has been named "one of the premier timers in stock market history" by Timer Digest,"the champion market forecaster" by Fortune magazine, "the world leader in Elliott Wave interpretation" by The Securities Institute, and "the nation's foremost proponent of the Elliott Wave method of forecasting" by The New York Times. Since 1979, when he first addressed the subject, Bob has been exploring socionomics, the study and prediction of social trends in light of the Wave Principle, and its implications for the social sciences. Prechter outlined this new approach to social science in Socionomics the Science of History and Social Prediction (1999-2003). This two-book set presents a theory of endogenously regulated social mood and its manifestation in social action. In 1999, he created the Socionomics Institute, of which he is Executive Director. The institute is an independent think-tank whose mission is to develop socionomics as an academic discipline and to promote its commercial application. In 2004, the Socionomics Foundation, a 501(c)3 non-profit organization, was created to provide education and fund scholarly investigation into socionomic theory. In 2007, The Journal of Behavioral Finance published "The Financial/Economic Dichotomy: A Socionomic Perspective," a paper on financial theory by Prechter and his colleague, Dr. Wayne Parker. Prechter has made presentations on socionomic theory to Oxford, Cambridge, Trinity, the London School of Economics, MIT, Georgia Tech, SUNY and academic conferences. He has served as a reviewer for academic journals devoted to economics and finance. Prechter recently created the Socionomics Institute, which is dedicated to explaining, researching and applying socionomics, and he funds the Socionomics Foundation, which supports academic research in the field. Prechter graduated from Yale University in 1971 with a degree in psychology. He served as the 21st president of the Market Technicians Association, and is a member of the Shakespeare Oxford Society and the Triple Nine Society. For more information, visit robertprechter.com.

Most helpful customer reviews

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Kindle edition lacking
By Beachnorwegian
My 2 star review is based on the very annoying lack of links in the kindle edition. The authors are frequently referring to charts in the book ( a good thing) but the charts are many times not nearby the current page. The reader is left to manually search for these graphs. A simple hyperlink would have saved the reader from all this inconvenience. Why haven't the editors done it?

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Only partly of use and therefore quite expensive
By Michel
Nice to learn more about Elliot Wave. But it is mainly the first ~80 pages that are of practical use. Nice read though, but quite expensive for a book thats only partly of use for the average trader. Go look for the book of Ramki 5 waves of financial freedom which is cheaper and at least as good imo.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
BOON OR BANE?
By aipuo
This book is a double-edged sword. It can either help or harm
you greatly One needs to use it with other TA tools. For e.g.,
if you are lulled into thinking that all bull runs have 3 legs (5 waves),
it can be dangerous because bull runs can have 2 or 4 legs too.

The double zig-zag I read here seems different from other books.

5-3 is chosen as a standard for all to understand. The market
need not be so. Pregnant ladies by an large give birth to one child.
But sometimes, there are twins or more. In the same way,
by and large, EWP holds true with its deviations.

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[U386.Ebook] Fee Download Raven, by Norah Hess

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Raven, by Norah Hess

When Raven's two-bit gambler husband ordered her to entertain a handsome cowboy at dinner, she had no idea of the double dealings involved. How was she to know that he had promised the good-looking stranger a night in her bed for $1,000, or that he had no intention of keeping his word? Cheated of his night of passion, Chance McGruder couldn't get the dark-haired little beauty out of his mind. So he was both tantalized and tormented when she showed up at the neighboring ranch, newly widowed but no less desirable. What kind of a wife would agree to sell herself to another man? What kind of a woman would run off with $1,000 that wasn't hers? What kind of a widow could make him burn to possess her? And what kind of man was he to ignore his doubts and gamble his heart that when she gave her body, it would be for love.

  • Sales Rank: #2995933 in Books
  • Published on: 1999-10
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 1.18" h x 4.25" w x 6.77" l,
  • Binding: Mass Market Paperback
  • 391 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
It was okay....
By Tracy Talley
This story has so much promise, then never really delivered. I don't like to knock books, because the authors work so hard writing them, but I was a bit disapointed in this one. The main character Raven was great, I liked her strong lead, but the male lead of Chase, I wasn't crazy about. The story was based on a woman who was married to a gambling husband who insisted she sleep with a handsome stranger (Chase) for $1000, this being in the 1800's, that was alot of money. She she reluctantly did it because she feared her husband if she didn't. When it was over, Raven soon became a widow by accident. Chase never knew and went on his way to his ranch in Montana. Raven was now alone and runs into her brother. They buy a ranch in Montana, and she soon finds out her neighbor is none other than Chase. This is where the book should have taken off, so to speak, but it never did. Chase didn't really seem to care that her dead husband used her like that and I had to wonder what kind of man Chase was to even ask to spend the night with the man's wife. It nagged me the entire book and when he felt he loved her already, I didn't feel convinced. There was also a second romance going on in the story that never ended or really took off either. The villains were real and true villians, but they also never took off, so to speak. This book had soooo much potential and it upset me that it never truly got off the ground.

4 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
A waste of time
By A Customer
This book was a complete waste of time. It was so bad that I actually bet a friend that she had never read such a bad book (sadly, I won). I have never read such drivel as Ms. Hess has attempted to use to pass off as a book. I think the author has watched way too many westerns and has no real concept of western life. People do not ride stallions typically yet all her characters rode them, she kept changing the animals right and left one moment it was a stallion then a gelding then a mare....that is a pretty good trick if you can get away with it. Every thing under the sun happened to these people and then AMAZING...the very next day it is all resolved. The people are not people I care about, she would throw someone in for interest and then poof, they are gone again. I am sure that living during that time was very difficult, however, some of the situtations were a little far fetched. And then at the end everyone is happy and life goes on. I am sorry but I doubt that I will ever want to read Ms. Hess again.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Relatively Good book, but with to many dead ends
By Ayshianka
The book was a good read, but it didn't stand up to previous Norah Hess novels. In my opinion Norah Hess could have done MUCH better. All Chase was interested in after find Raven at the neighboring ranch, was taking advantage of Raven and collecting what he considered to be enough sex to make up for the $1000 dollars he was out of. Though Raven was a wonderful character, I found it rediculous to have Chase pretend that they were intended to wed when Raven lost her memory, that seemed to me that that was just another way for him to collect what he thought he was due. Norah Hess can do so much better than this...

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Senin, 21 April 2014

[Q394.Ebook] Download Marketing Math Made Really Easy: A simple approach to the math that makes marketing work, by John Story

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Marketing Math Made Really Easy: A simple approach to the math that makes marketing work, by John Story

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Marketing Math Made Really Easy: A simple approach to the math that makes marketing work, by John Story

Great marketing requires math, yet many students of marketing avoid the mathematics of marketing at all costs. This is really a shame, because the marketing math is not difficult. Marketing Math Made Really Easy does just what it says. It introduces the reader to the basic calculations of marketing in a way that makes them easy to understand. It uses examples and illustrations to bring the equations to life and demonstrate their importance. I have been teaching marketing math for almost 20 years, to both undergraduate and graduate students. The proven methods in this book have helped thousands of students master the basic math of marketing.

  • Sales Rank: #1970755 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-02-23
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x .14" w x 6.00" l,
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 58 pages

About the Author
I was born in 1957 in Houston, Texas. I had a long career in the oilfields of South Texas, before going back to earn a business degree from Texas A&M University. Though I started as Class of '80, I finished as Class of '91. One of my favorite T-shirts says, "College, the 12 best years of my life!" and I mean it. Once I started back, I found it difficult to stop, earning an MS from A&M and a Ph. D. from the University of Colorado. I have served on the faculty of UTSA, Idaho State University, and the University of St. Thomas, in Houston. I have worked with a variety of marketing research firms to measure, analyze, and develop customer/brand relationships. I founded Storyed Solutions to provide marketing and management research solutions to industry and higher education. I have been married for over 30 years, to the same wife, and have three lovely daughters. My Business Short Books compile material that I have used to supplement my teaching and give students a deeper understanding of specific strategic topics. They include insights, examples, and equations (when appropriate). They are not designed to replace textbooks, but convey a level of understanding not typically available from the typical textbook chapter. I learned to surf, at 49, when we decided to move back to Texas, from Idaho. It was one of the best decisions I ever made. In Old Guy Surfing I share my learning experiences, along with strategies and techniques to keep old guys surfing into old age

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Sabtu, 12 April 2014

[T413.Ebook] PDF Ebook PHP6 and MySQL Bible

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PHP6 and MySQL Bible

  • Published on: 1900
  • Binding: Paperback

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Selasa, 08 April 2014

[Q695.Ebook] Fee Download Madame De Pompadour, by Nancy Mitford

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First published in 1954, this is an evocation of Louis XV's court at Versailles. The political and religious complications of the time are explained and put into context, while the complex characters are brought vividly to life.

  • Sales Rank: #2693974 in Books
  • Published on: 1995-02-23
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 3
  • Dimensions: 7.99" h x .71" w x 5.16" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 288 pages

Most helpful customer reviews

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Madame De Pompadour
By Andrea F. Dew
I am reading all of Nancy Mitford's books. I admire her as an authoress. This book was well-written and a good read for those interested in biographies.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
one of my favorite women in history
By melanie adams
this was a really well-written, and fascinating book about madame pompadour, one of my favorite women in history. do dry boring historical bio here.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Marla VanBuskirk
This book arrived in very good condition. I enjoyed reading it, and it looks good on my bookshelves.

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